Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.003639 0.003816 0.003997 0.004196 0.004408 0.004629 0.004876
2025-02-09 0.003286 0.003548 0.003827 0.004146 0.004504 0.004893 0.005350
2025-02-16 0.003087 0.003398 0.003739 0.004142 0.004606 0.005128 0.005764
2025-02-23 0.002924 0.003269 0.003654 0.004119 0.004669 0.005305 0.006103
2025-03-02 0.002828 0.003204 0.003632 0.004160 0.004799 0.005556 0.006532
2025-03-09 0.002706 0.003099 0.003555 0.004125 0.004830 0.005683 0.006810
2025-03-16 0.002597 0.003004 0.003481 0.004088 0.004851 0.005793 0.007066
2025-03-23 0.002485 0.002899 0.003390 0.004023 0.004830 0.005844 0.007243
2025-03-30 0.002387 0.002805 0.003307 0.003963 0.004811 0.005893 0.007414
2025-04-06 0.002329 0.002759 0.003280 0.003970 0.004876 0.006052 0.007739
2025-04-13 0.002207 0.002628 0.003142 0.003829 0.004740 0.005936 0.007675
2025-04-20 0.002162 0.002593 0.003124 0.003841 0.004806 0.006092 0.007998
2025-04-27 0.002156 0.002607 0.003170 0.003941 0.004995 0.006429 0.008605
2025-05-04 0.002087 0.002539 0.003108 0.003896 0.004985 0.006487 0.008808
2025-05-11 0.002041 0.002498 0.003079 0.003891 0.005030 0.006624 0.009135
2025-05-18 0.001990 0.002450 0.003039 0.003870 0.005049 0.006724 0.009407
2025-05-25 0.001965 0.002434 0.003042 0.003908 0.005153 0.006949 0.009888
2025-06-01 0.001916 0.002385 0.002996 0.003876 0.005154 0.007022 0.010129
2025-06-08 0.001868 0.002336 0.002951 0.003842 0.005150 0.007086 0.010355
2025-06-15 0.001813 0.002277 0.002888 0.003782 0.005104 0.007082 0.010469
2025-06-22 0.001763 0.002222 0.002831 0.003727 0.005064 0.007084 0.010591
2025-06-29 0.001736 0.002199 0.002817 0.003734 0.005117 0.007233 0.010974
2025-07-06 0.001664 0.002111 0.002711 0.003604 0.004956 0.007037 0.010742